Rugby union ELO forecasts

Real-data baseline from ESPN public rugby endpoints. Current scope is rugby union only (Premiership, URC, Top 14, Super Rugby Pacific, Six Nations, Rugby Championship and tests).

Completed matches
414
Brier
0.159
Accuracy
55.3%

Latest rated matches

Munster 46.9% Leinster
2026-12-27 路 United Rugby Championship 路 final 0-0
Ulster 58.9% Connacht
2026-12-27 路 United Rugby Championship 路 final 0-0
Edinburgh 41.8% Glasgow Warriors
2026-12-27 路 United Rugby Championship 路 final 0-0
Benetton Treviso 76.0% Zebre
2026-12-27 路 United Rugby Championship 路 final 0-0
Ospreys 66.1% Scarlets
2026-12-26 路 United Rugby Championship 路 final 0-0
Dragons 38.2% Cardiff Blues
2026-12-26 路 United Rugby Championship 路 final 0-0
Connacht 67.6% Edinburgh
2026-12-19 路 United Rugby Championship 路 final 0-0
Leinster 68.2% Glasgow Warriors
2026-12-19 路 United Rugby Championship 路 final 0-0

Top ELO ratings

  1. 1. Chiefs1864
  2. 2. Hurricanes1854
  3. 3. New Zealand1853
  4. 4. Leinster1843
  5. 5. Bulls1841

Team names resolved from ESPN. ELO + Glicko model over completed matches.